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California Drought

This article is featured in the Spring 2022 issue of LAND magazine. Click here to find out more.


According to the most recent Census of Agriculture conducted by the US Department of Agriculture, California accounts for 11 percent of the nation’s total agricultural sales. The state’s bounty includes dairy products, beef, produce such as lettuce, tomatoes and strawberries, as well as high-value specialties such as almonds, walnuts, pistachios, and grapes. By volume, California provides one-third of the nation’s vegetables and two-thirds of its nuts.

Drought conditions decrease crop yields. Some of America’s staples such as corn, soybeans, rice, dairy and meat, as well as favorites such as almonds and avocados are particularly susceptible. When these foods become scarce, supermarket prices will skyrocket.

If drought conditions do not subside, experts predict that California is projected to lose more than one-tenth of its usable acreage by 2040. While that is dire, it doesn’t mean that Californians will be out of the agriculture business, but it likely means the state’s agriculture business will change.

As farmers are forced to shut down portions of their productive land and face water shortages, they will have to focus on profit versus consumer demand. As water becomes scarcer and more expensive, producers must allocate it to crops that deliver higher profits, in order to keep their operations afloat. 

Tree crops like almonds, avocados, peaches, citrus, and others are among the most profitable per drop of water. While these high-value items may become more plentiful, the variety of commodities that California brings to the nation will likely decrease.

To further complicate the situation, the state’s cities continue to sprawl, prompting working land to be converted to commercial and residential holdings and increasing the demand (and competition) for water.

The Situation at Hand

Since 2000, more than half of the state’s water years have been dry or drought years. The 2021 water year was California’s driest in a century. One result of the record-breaking heat and dryness was a devastating fire season where more than two and a half million acres and thousands of homes burned.

According to the National Integrated Drought Information System, 99 percent of the state is currently experiencing a moderate drought. Of that, more than 66 percent of the Golden State is in a severe drought.

On the landscape, a severe drought means:

The effects of a moderate drought include:

All of the state’s 58 counties are under a drought emergency proclamation, and as of January 18, reservoir levels have dropped to 2019 levels. A wet and snow-packed December ending 2021 temporarily improved conditions across the state, but a dry January cut into those gains. According to California’s Drought Update, it would take 140 percent of the state’ normal yearly rainfall to recover from drought.  

Californians are being asked to reduce their water use by an additional 15 percent over 2020 levels to help protect water reserves and maintain critical flows for fish and wildlife wherever possible. (In 2021, low river levels prompted state officials to truck young salmon from the Central Valley to the Pacific Ocean.) Wasteful water practices, such as using decorative fountains, lakes and ponds, and watering landscapes, have been banned.

Down on the Farm and Ranch

While all Californians are feeling the drought’s impacts, farmers and ranchers are bearing the brunt. In the face of water shortages, state and federal agencies have cut water deliveries to farmers and ranchers drastically—sometimes cutting off water supplies completely.

As reported by Cal Matters, agriculturists are responding to the challenges in three intertwined ways: suspending cultivation of some fields or ripping up orchards for lack of water, drilling new wells to tap into diminishing aquifers, and buying water from those who have it.

Each response delivers an economic impact. Some farmers and ranchers, especially small family operators, are forced out of business, which accelerates the shift to large-scale corporate agribusinesses that have financial resources to cope. The types of crops that can be grown profitably is changing. And the semi-secretive water market is being super-charged by demand.

As farmers and ranchers are losing their land and livestock, farm workers are losing their jobs, and the tremors continue through the economy.

In the Long-term

Agriculture in California—and across the nation—is essential to our nation’s well-being, security and sustainability. In order to keep California producing the food that nourishes our bodies and our economy, it is crucial that we work together to preserve the farm and ranch land we have and make sure that it keeps working in the future.

That’s where land conservation organizations, such as the California Farmland Trust and The Wildlands Conservancy, come in. Conservation organizations work with willing farmers and ranchers who want to ensure that their land remains productive croplands or rangelands in the future. The owner and land trust team cooperate to enact easements, legal documents that dictate the use of the land in perpetuity. The landowner either donates or sells the development rights associated with the property, ensuring that it remains intact, open, working land instead of the site of a shopping center or sub-division.

Ultimately, the goal extends beyond conservation to appreciation. California’s rich land is a life-sustaining natural resource that should be valued and safeguarded—for the good of the state and our great nation.

Final Thoughts

“The impacts of California’s ongoing drought extends far beyond our borders, and should serve as a wake-up call for the entire nation,” said Pete Clark, a fifth generation California rancher and Real Estate Broker of Clark Company. “Productive land and its bounty is the backbone of our nation’s health, wealth and security. ”

“With that in mind, it is incumbent that everyone understand the relevance of agriculture to our daily lives and measure its value in ecological terms as well as market terms. We must conserve agricultural lands’ powerful productivity if we are not only going to survive, but thrive in the 21st Century.” 

“California’s rich land is a life-sustaining natural resource that should be valued and safeguarded”

Clark Company

While the following water-saving tips were created to help Californians stretch dwindling water supplies, they make sense for anyone interested in conservation. Small savings multiplied by great numbers of people equal a big impact.

Indoor Water Conservation Tips

⟶ Bathroom

⟶ Kitchen

⟶ Laundry

Outdoor Water Conservation Tips

⟶ Lawn Care

⟶ Car Washing

Regardless of the location, limiting residential water use, means more water is available in the local aquifers for agricultural use. And if you want to make a direct impact on farmers’ and ranchers’ pocketbooks, buy meat, fruits and vegetables from a local Farmer’s Market.

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